This essay analyzes the selective failure of nuclear deterrence observed in the conflicts of 2025 and 2026, highlighting cases in Ukraine, Israel, South Asia, and Iran. It advocates for a shift from deterrence by threat to deterrence by denial, emphasizing resilience and defense while warning against the impulse for nuclear proliferation among anxious allies.
The Shift from Deterrence to Defense: Lessons Learned Read More »
The security architecture of the Sahel is undergoing a fundamental transformation. In 2024, West Africa accounted for more than half of all terrorism-related deaths globally. Central to this destabilization is the rapid expansion of Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM). As I recently discussed in an interview with Sky News Arabia, the group is transitioning from
JNIM Transformation: Threat to Global Security in the Sahel Read More »
Governments often seek public input on proposed policies through formal consultations, crucial in shaping effective regulations. Success hinges on timely engagement during the formulation stage, adherence to the Gunning Principles for fair participation, and presenting well-structured, evidence-driven submissions. Collaboration and transparency enhance influence, enabling stakeholders to navigate policy processes effectively.
Mastering Government Consultations: A Strategic Guide Read More »
NATO’s enlargement into Central and Eastern Europe has fundamentally redefined the continent’s security landscape, post-Cold War. While offering protection to former Soviet-dominated states, it heightened tensions with Russia, amplifying perceptions of encirclement. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine underscores NATO’s pivotal role and the necessity for credible deterrence and commitment among member states.
Meta Title: Global Security in the Post-American Era Meta Description: Explore how the post-American era and information warfare reshape global security. Discover the impact on NATO, Israel’s defense, and Hamas’s resilience. Are the foundational pillars of the international order collapsing before our eyes? As the geopolitical landscape shifts into what historians and foreign policy analysts
Résumé analytique Le 27 février 2022, les plaques tectoniques de la sécurité européenne ont bougé. Lors d’une session extraordinaire du Bundestag, le chancelier Olaf Scholz a annoncé un Zeitenwende — un tournant décisif. Ce n’était pas une simple réaction à l’invasion de l’Ukraine par la Russie ; c’était l’abandon de près de huit décennies de
Executive Summary On February 27, 2022, Germany reached a turning point. Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s announcement of a Zeitenwende—a “watershed moment” in German foreign and security policy—was more than a pledge to funnel hundreds of billions of euros into the Bundeswehr. For the first time since World War II, Germany cast aside its long-held reservations about
Europe’s Next Hegemon: Strategic and Geopolitical Consequences of a Rearmed Germany Read More »
Points Cles Contexte stratégique Histoire et évolution du programme nucléaire et balistique iranien Cadre juridique, conformité et régime de sanctions internationales Approches opérationnelles Dynamique régionale et rôle des groupes soutenus par l’Iran Conformité, chantage diplomatique et pressions internes La connexion Gaza : pièges tactiques et résilience du Hamas Présence et renforcement de la flotte américaine
Tensions actuelles entre l’Iran, les États-Unis et Israël Read More »
Synthèse stratégique Qualifier le monde actuel de « poudrière », selon le général Pierre de Villiers, n’est pas du simple alarmisme : c’est le cœur des enjeux sécuritaires contemporains. Le « dividende de la paix » post-Guerre froide a disparu. À sa place, la résurgence des rivalités, l’effritement des régimes de contrôle des armements et
La poudrière : repenser la dissuasion face à la nouvelle donne stratégique Read More »
1. Introduction: The Stakes of International Nuclear Cooperation Civil nuclear partnerships are not simply commercial transactions; they represent a fusion of science, diplomacy, and global security management. As nations search for sustainable energy and technological self-sufficiency, robust international mechanisms are required to prevent the peaceful atom from fueling the spread of nuclear weapons. The U.S.
Section 123 Agreements and Nuclear Cooperation. Read More »