NATO

Several planners move blue and amber markers across a relief map of the North Atlantic, Arctic and Europe linked by illuminated routes.

NATO Rehearses the War It Hopes Never to Fight

NATO’s Steadfast Duel 2026, involving around 8,000 military and civilian participants, is a command-post exercise focused on testing the Alliance’s decision-making and coordination capabilities under stress. It emphasizes political direction, shared operational understanding, and collective defense coordination, aiming for proactive learning and identifying decision-system flaws without predicting war outcomes.

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A materials scientist inspects perforated propellant grains in a protected quality-control laboratory overlooking a modern chemical production hall.

Europe’s Ammunition Race Has a Chemical Bottleneck

European defense ministers have highlighted the urgent need for ammunition amid slow production increases. Discussions emphasized a mismatch between immediate military requirements and future capacity, particularly for energetic materials like explosives and propellants. Current efforts by Britain and Poland aim to boost production, but challenges in supply chains and production timelines remain.

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 A civilian rail coordinator directs an unmarked train carrying heavy engineering vehicles through a European freight terminal at dawn

The Tank Is Ready. The Route Is Not: Europe’s Military Mobility Test

Europe’s military mobility faces significant challenges despite increased defense budgets and equipment acquisitions. Effective deployment hinges on a complex integration of infrastructure, permissions, and civilian transport systems. Proposed frameworks aim to streamline cross-border movement, but gaps in operational readiness persist, emphasizing that geographical and procedural constraints can undermine deterrence efforts.

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A fictional ground-crew chief directs an unmarked fighter aircraft and a small support team on a forest highway converted into a temporary airstrip at dawn.

The Runway Is No Longer the Base: How Dispersion Is Rewriting Airpower and Deterrence

The effectiveness of modern airpower relies on resilience rather than inventory numbers. Lessons from Ukraine, Finland, Taiwan, and the U.S. show that dispersed operations, rapid logistics, and mobile command structures are vital for strategic survival post-attack. A networked approach with multiple support layers is essential for sustained combat effectiveness.

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Drone flying over industrial storage tanks under a colorful sunset sky

The Shift from Deterrence to Defense: Lessons Learned

This essay analyzes the selective failure of nuclear deterrence observed in the conflicts of 2025 and 2026, highlighting cases in Ukraine, Israel, South Asia, and Iran. It advocates for a shift from deterrence by threat to deterrence by denial, emphasizing resilience and defense while warning against the impulse for nuclear proliferation among anxious allies.

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Map of West Africa at night showing country borders illuminated with glowing fiery lines

JNIM Transformation: Threat to Global Security in the Sahel

The security architecture of the Sahel is undergoing a fundamental transformation. In 2024, West Africa accounted for more than half of all terrorism-related deaths globally. Central to this destabilization is the rapid expansion of Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM). As I recently discussed in an interview with Sky News Arabia, the group is transitioning from

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Increase contrast of policy cycle illustration

Mastering Government Consultations: A Strategic Guide

Governments often seek public input on proposed policies through formal consultations, crucial in shaping effective regulations. Success hinges on timely engagement during the formulation stage, adherence to the Gunning Principles for fair participation, and presenting well-structured, evidence-driven submissions. Collaboration and transparency enhance influence, enabling stakeholders to navigate policy processes effectively.

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Map showing NATO member states and phased eastward expansion waves in Europe with arrows and years

NATO’s Strategic Expansion in Eastern Europe: Deterrence, Risk, and the Remaking of European Security

NATO’s enlargement into Central and Eastern Europe has fundamentally redefined the continent’s security landscape, post-Cold War. While offering protection to former Soviet-dominated states, it heightened tensions with Russia, amplifying perceptions of encirclement. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine underscores NATO’s pivotal role and the necessity for credible deterrence and commitment among member states.

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A realistic depiction of global security challenges in the post-American era, featuring a fractured globe surrounded by digital data streams, military equipment, and political leaders in intense discussion. The scene includes a blurred map of the Middle East, NATO flags, and a digital screen showing social media disinformation, symbolizing the interplay between traditional military power and modern information warfare

Global Security in the Post-American Era: How Bad Leadership and Information Warfare Are Reshaping the World

Meta Title: Global Security in the Post-American Era Meta Description: Explore how the post-American era and information warfare reshape global security. Discover the impact on NATO, Israel’s defense, and Hamas’s resilience. Are the foundational pillars of the international order collapsing before our eyes? As the geopolitical landscape shifts into what historians and foreign policy analysts

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"An infographic illustrating Germany's leadership in European conventional rearmament, represented by a modern military helmet positioned slightly off-center on a glowing Europe. The globe features stylized outlines of European countries, with subtle nuclear symbols near France and England to signify their nuclear capabilities. The composition uses a professional, minimalist style with muted grays, blues, and metallic tones, emphasizing Germany's strategic role in European defense."

Le prochain hégémon de l’Europe : Les implications stratégiques et géopolitiques d’une Allemagne réarmée

Résumé analytique Le 27 février 2022, les plaques tectoniques de la sécurité européenne ont bougé. Lors d’une session extraordinaire du Bundestag, le chancelier Olaf Scholz a annoncé un Zeitenwende — un tournant décisif. Ce n’était pas une simple réaction à l’invasion de l’Ukraine par la Russie ; c’était l’abandon de près de huit décennies de

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