The June 17, 2026 Islamabad MoU between the US and Iran aimed to ease long-standing tensions through a 60-day framework for a comprehensive deal, addressing military operations, sanctions, and nuclear commitments. However, subsequent missile tests, asset disputes, and internal regime divisions reveal a precarious situation with heightened risks of renewed conflict.
US-Iran Islamabad MoU: A Fragile Road to Peace Read More »
Executive Summary The Iran war has fundamentally reshaped the Middle East’s security landscape, and the consequences are still unfolding. Hezbollah, once the world’s most heavily armed non-state actor, has lost an estimated 80–85% of its pre-war firepower, with its mass-raid and long-range strike capabilities severely degraded after the joint U.S.-Israel campaign severed the IRGC Quds
UAE-Israel Alliance: A Shift in Middle Eastern Security Read More »
Since October 7, Israel has increasingly declined adversary-imposed deterrence formulas and now responds to attacks on its north with direct strikes, citing the defense of its civilians, from Dahiyeh to Iran.
Iran and Israel: Escalation and the Question of Self-Defense Read More »