Turkey

Chessboard with chess pieces on sand desert with city skyline and oil refinery at sunset

The Impact of Iran’s Erosion on Middle East Stability

The Middle East is undergoing a significant strategic transformation as the bipolar order between Iran and the U.S.-aligned bloc disintegrates. Key events like the 2026 Iran war and the reimposition of UN sanctions have weakened Iran’s proxy network, prompting Gulf states to adopt a hedging strategy and pursue conditional partnerships, fostering a fluid, multipolar environment marked by uncertainty and adaptive policymaking.

The Impact of Iran’s Erosion on Middle East Stability Read More »

Naval ships escorting several large commercial oil tankers through a narrow sea passage flanked by rocky brown hills.

Geopolitical Shifts in the Wake of the Gulf Conflict

The 2026 war reshaped the Middle East’s security landscape, highlighting the complex dynamics between Israel, Iran, and the Gulf states. While Israel achieved military objectives against Iran’s nuclear capabilities and proxies, the regime adapted rather than collapsed. The conflict’s ramifications rippled globally, affecting economies beyond the region and revealing the limits of military force in engendering political change.

Geopolitical Shifts in the Wake of the Gulf Conflict Read More »

Two freight trains with containers traveling on parallel tracks through a desert towards a coastal shipping port and city skyline.

La bataille se joue sur la carte

Il existe un péril singulier dans l’instant où chacun soupire d’aise en même temps. Ce moment précède presque toujours la faute suivante. Et il est en train d’advenir. Dans une douzaine de capitales, la même conclusion confortable durcit : l’Iran est brisé, l’axe est épuisé, la longue épreuve s’achève. La tentation se comprend. Après des

La bataille se joue sur la carte Read More »

Two freight trains with containers traveling on parallel tracks through a desert towards a coastal shipping port and city skyline.

The Map After the Missiles

Why Iran’s Decline Will Be Decided by Trade Routes, Not Air Strikes The temptation after a successful military campaign is to mistake damage for resolution. That temptation is now shaping how Western governments think about Iran. After the strikes of 2026, a familiar conclusion has hardened across allied capitals: Tehran is broken, its network of

The Map After the Missiles Read More »